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Simplified hydrological models for the simulation and analysis of the Colombian electricity market (#2025)

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Date of Conference

July 15-17, 2026

Published In

"Engineering without Borders: Artificial Intelligence, Knowledge, Innovation, and Alliances for a Future from the Americas"

Location of Conference

Santiago (Chile)

Authors

Duarte Velasco, Oscar Germán

Olaya Escobar, Erika Sofía

Abstract

Three lumped models of hydrological behaviour relevant to analysing the energy market in Colombia have been developed. The variables modelled are water inflows, the reference path and expectations of future water inflows. To demonstrate the effectiveness of these models, the performance of a neural network-based model is presented, which successfully predicts the average bid price of hydroelectric power with 99% accuracy

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